Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Jameson Williams

DET

WR29 · overall #64 · tier 7 · age 25

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Projected points

141

10.6/gm

Value over replacement

45

repl 115

Range

90–192

sd 51

Week

9.9

vs NO

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
82
Carries
6
Receptions
51
Rec yards
781
Rush yards
31
Rush TD
0.3
Rec TD
5.6
Total TD
5.9
Games projected
13.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.3
Games of history
50
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
62.6
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.86
OL pass protection
+0.77
OL continuity
43%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.25
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
28% / 60%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
59
Effective contributors
2.70
Top player's share
51%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.70

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NO,BUF,NYJ
Window matchup
+0.98
Opponents after
CAR,ARI
After matchup
+0.27
Flip edge
+0.71
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.19

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

219.9

Per game

12.94

17-gm pace

220

Best / worst

26.9 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
16.65423013
218.842108100
36.33243000
45.7824001-3
52.0119011
618.67666100
70.0200000
916.66466100
1023.976119100
1119.77488119
120.0300000
1326.910714411-5
1417.39796017
1526.4107134100
1612.09570000
175.73237000
1813.48674000