Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

James Conner

ARI

RB41 · overall #134 · tier – · age 31

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Projected points

15

8.8/gm

Value over replacement

3

repl 116

Range

0–48

sd 33

Week

0.0

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
4
Carries
17
Receptions
3
Rec yards
21
Rush yards
73
Rush TD
0.4
Rec TD
0.1
Total TD
0.5
Games projected
1.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
15.1
Games of history
45
Age multiplier
0.857
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
-0.14
OL pass protection
-0.29
OL continuity
51%
2TE rate
48%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.40
Scheme creativity
+0.44
Play action / motion
25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
4.46
Top player's share
32%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup
+0.25
Opponents after
DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup
-0.36
Flip edge
+0.62
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.37

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

3

Points

33.3

Per game

11.10

17-gm pace

189

Best / worst

14.4 / 6.7

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
114.4RB16123904451
212.2RB251134111180
36.7RB38922043150