Jamari Thrash

CLE

WR183 · overall #429 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

2.0/gm

Value over replacement

-58

repl 119

Range

5–38

sd 16

Week

0.5

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 18
Carries: 1
Receptions: 11
Rec yards: 126
Rush yards: 4
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 0.5
Total TD: 0.5
Games projected: 10.7
Observed pts/gm (history): 2.1
Games of history: 14
Age multiplier: 1.026
Usage carryover: 0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.4
Projected plays / game: 61.0
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: -1.18
OL pass protection: -1.79
OL continuity: 28%
2TE rate: 37%
3WR rate: 63%
1st-down pass rate: 44%
Run friendly: +1.14
Scheme creativity: -0.09
Play action / motion: 23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score: 98
Effective contributors: 3.52
Top player's share: 46%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy low
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup: -0.25
Opponents after: TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup: -0.30
Flip edge: +0.05
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.27

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

10.7

Per game

1.34

17-gm pace

Best / worst

3.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
1	0.6	WR105	1	1	6
2	0.5	WR112	1	1	5
3	0.7	WR105	3	2	7
5	2.2	WR71	1	1	22
6	1.3	WR82	3	2	13
7	2.3	WR65	2	1	23
8	3.1	WR56	3	2	31
10	0.0	WR93	1	0	0