Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jalen Royals

KC

WR195 · overall #457 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

23

2.0/gm

Value over replacement

-63

repl 119

Range

15–31

sd 8

Week

2.5

@ LV

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
17
Carries
2
Receptions
10
Rec yards
126
Rush yards
11
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.7
Total TD
0.7
Games projected
11.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.3
Games of history
2
Age multiplier
1.052
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
63.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
+0.13
OL pass protection
-0.04
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
41%
3WR rate
56%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.61
Scheme creativity
+0.04
Play action / motion
17% / 55%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.80
Top player's share
25%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LV,LAC
Window matchup
+0.36
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,NYJ
After matchup
-0.24
Flip edge
+0.60
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.27

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

2

Points

2.4

Per game

1.20

17-gm pace

20

Best / worst

2.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
40.0WR114000000
182.4WR82324000