QB
Jalen Hurts
PHIQB3 · overall #43 · tier 1 · age 28
Projected points
289
19.6/gm
Value over replacement
59
repl 250
Range
245–332
sd 43
Week
17.4
vs LA
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 411
- Pass yards
- 3113
- Pass TD
- 19.6
- Carries
- 123
- Rush yards
- 487
- Rush TD
- 8.9
- Games projected
- 14.7
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 21.0
- Games of history
- 63
- Age multiplier
- 1.012
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.8
- Projected plays / game
- 61.3
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +1.28
- OL pass protection
- +1.10
- OL continuity
- 81%
- 2TE rate
- 36%
- 3WR rate
- 63%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 43%
- Run friendly
- +0.90
- Scheme creativity
- +0.20
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 46%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 43
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.45
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- LA,JAX,CAR
- Window matchup
- -0.17
- Opponents after
- DAL,WAS,NYG
- After matchup
- +1.22
- Flip edge
- -1.39
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.28
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
16
Points
301.1
Per game
18.82
17-gm pace
320
Best / worst
30.9 / 2.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24.3 | QB8 | 19 | 23 | 152 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 62 | 2 |
| 2 | 11.5 | QB25 | 15 | 22 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 1 |
| 3 | 29.0 | QB2 | 21 | 32 | 226 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 1 |
| 4 | 19.4 | QB11 | 15 | 24 | 130 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 62 | 0 |
| 5 | 19.5 | QB12 | 23 | 38 | 280 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 6 | 20.6 | QB8 | 24 | 33 | 283 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 1 |
| 7 | 24.0 | QB7 | 19 | 23 | 326 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
| 8 | 25.4 | QB3 | 15 | 20 | 179 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 | 12.0 | QB18 | 15 | 26 | 183 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 | 14.5 | QB13 | 14 | 28 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 31 | 1 |
| 12 | 30.9 | QB2 | 27 | 39 | 289 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 2 |
| 13 | 16.3 | QB16 | 19 | 34 | 230 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 | 2.4 | QB29 | 21 | 40 | 240 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 | 22.9 | QB9 | 12 | 15 | 175 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 | 19.4 | QB10 | 22 | 30 | 185 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 | 8.9 | QB23 | 13 | 27 | 110 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |