Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jahan Dotson

ATL

WR155 · overall #365 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

61

4.1/gm

Value over replacement

-50

repl 119

Range

3–120

sd 59

Week

2.9

@ NO

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
46
Carries
0
Receptions
27
Rec yards
341
Rush yards
2
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
2.3
Total TD
2.3
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.3
Games of history
58
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.7
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.05
OL pass protection
+0.17
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
29%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.35
Scheme creativity
-0.20
Play action / motion
17% / 66%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
3.77
Top player's share
41%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NO,BAL,CHI
Window matchup
+0.29
Opponents after
SF,TB,CIN
After matchup
-0.28
Flip edge
+0.57
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.24

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

15

Points

50.2

Per game

3.35

17-gm pace

57

Best / worst

11.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
18.9WR433359000
21.4WR115114000
31.7WR110317000
40.0WR114000000
53.4WR803124000
62.7WR872117000
811.0WR352140100
100.0WR94100000
116.3WR512243000
120.0WR98100000
132.2WR913112000
141.3WR96313000
164.3WR803313000
170.0WR120100000
187.0WR478340000