Jahan Dotson

ATL

WR155 · overall #365 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

4.1/gm

Value over replacement

-50

repl 119

Range

3–120

sd 59

Week

2.9

@ NO

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 46
Carries: 0
Receptions: 27
Rec yards: 341
Rush yards: 2
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 2.3
Total TD: 2.3
Games projected: 14.9
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.3
Games of history: 58
Age multiplier: 1.009
Usage carryover: 0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.6
Projected plays / game: 61.7
Projected pass rate: 56%
OL run block: +0.05
OL pass protection: +0.17
OL continuity: 82%
2TE rate: 29%
3WR rate: 64%
1st-down pass rate: 40%
Run friendly: +0.35
Scheme creativity: -0.20
Play action / motion: 17% / 66%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 90
Effective contributors: 3.77
Top player's share: 41%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: NO,BAL,CHI
Window matchup: +0.29
Opponents after: SF,TB,CIN
After matchup: -0.28
Flip edge: +0.57
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.24

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

41.2

Per game

2.75

17-gm pace

Best / worst

10.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	7.4	WR43	3	3	59	0
2	0.9	WR115	1	1	4	0
3	1.2	WR110	3	1	7	0
4	0.0	WR113	0	0	0	0
5	2.9	WR70	3	1	24	0
6	2.2	WR83	2	1	17	0
8	10.5	WR29	2	1	40	1
10	0.0	WR94	1	0	0	0
11	5.3	WR50	2	2	43	0
12	0.0	WR98	1	0	0	0
13	1.7	WR90	3	1	12	0
14	0.8	WR96	3	1	3	0
16	2.8	WR81	3	3	13	0
17	0.0	WR120	1	0	0	0
18	5.5	WR44	8	3	40	0