Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

WAS

RB36 · overall #101 · tier 7 · age 25

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Projected points

123

8.3/gm

Value over replacement

16

repl 116

Range

80–167

sd 43

Week

7.5

vs IND

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
24
Carries
162
Receptions
18
Rec yards
126
Rush yards
672
Rush TD
5.4
Rec TD
0.1
Total TD
5.5
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.4
Games of history
17
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.8
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
-0.49
OL pass protection
-0.84
OL continuity
84%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.19
Scheme creativity
-0.16
Play action / motion
20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
49
Effective contributors
2.63
Top player's share
51%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
IND,NYG,SF
Window matchup
+0.13
Opponents after
PHI,LA
After matchup
-0.49
Flip edge
+0.62
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.42

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

131.3

Per game

7.72

17-gm pace

131

Best / worst

25.0 / 1.7

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
114.2RB9108211000
21.7RB6041701000
39.1RB2282611150
45.7RB43747022100
525.0RB414111222390
64.8RB31176101170
73.2RB431333021-10
82.5RB4692501000
94.1RB37123801130
103.0RB46113000000
113.3RB4792801150
132.0RB5942000000
143.2RB4773200000
1515.6RB10189610000
168.5RB2882510000
1722.5RB61110520000
182.9RB51132900000