Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Jacoby Brissett

ARI

QB29 · overall #219 · tier 6 · age 33

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Projected points

159

13.8/gm

Value over replacement

-21

repl 250

Range

122–195

sd 37

Week

13.9

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
338
Pass yards
2360
Pass TD
14.3
Carries
31
Rush yards
135
Rush TD
0.9
Games projected
11.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
13.0
Games of history
37
Age multiplier
0.958
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
-0.14
OL pass protection
-0.29
OL continuity
51%
2TE rate
48%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.40
Scheme creativity
+0.44
Play action / motion
25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
43
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.45

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup
+0.19
Opponents after
DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup
-0.10
Flip edge
+0.29
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.49

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

14

Points

227.4

Per game

16.25

17-gm pace

276

Best / worst

24.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
20.2QB3900000120
50.0QB3201000000
620.7QB72744320213190
719.8QB122536279206260
924.8QB10213126120541
1019.4QB92244258204310
1121.9QB44757452222-20
1218.7QB73349317103200
1319.6QB102940301213160
1419.0QB122544271214220
1520.6QB12274024931360
1610.6QB24163120311150
1716.5QB14213721220000
1815.6QB152231243213190