Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Jackson Hawes

BUF

TE108 · overall #508 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

33

2.2/gm

Value over replacement

-72

repl 112

Range

16–51

sd 17

Week

1.2

vs NE

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
20
Carries
1
Receptions
15
Rec yards
157
Rush yards
1
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.7
Total TD
1.7
Games projected
15.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.0
Games of history
13
Age multiplier
1.050
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
55%
OL run block
+1.32
OL pass protection
+1.30
OL continuity
78%
2TE rate
28%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.97
Scheme creativity
+0.23
Play action / motion
21% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
53
Effective contributors
2.83
Top player's share
40%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.62

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NE,LA,LV
Window matchup
+0.28
Opponents after
BAL,MIN
After matchup
-0.68
Flip edge
+0.96
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.48

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

13

Points

36.7

Per game

2.82

17-gm pace

48

Best / worst

8.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
12.9TE2511290
20.5TE511150
36.5TE141151
41.5TE4011150
81.5TE3632150
91.8TE4121180
108.6TE721261
122.6TE2522260
131.0TE4611100
146.3TE131131
150.9TE501190
162.6TE3022260
180.0TE611100