WR
Jack Bech
LVWR149 · overall #355 · tier – · age 23
Projected points
29
2.8/gm
Value over replacement
-48
repl 119
Range
0–65
sd 36
Week
3.0
vs KC
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 23
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 14
- Rec yards
- 173
- Rush yards
- 7
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 0.6
- Total TD
- 0.6
- Games projected
- 10.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 3.1
- Games of history
- 14
- Age multiplier
- 1.052
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.6
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.08
- OL pass protection
- -0.32
- OL continuity
- 50%
- 2TE rate
- 42%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- +0.59
- Scheme creativity
- -0.05
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, committee
- Ambiguity score
- 98
- Effective contributors
- 4.24
- Top player's share
- 38%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.55
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- KC,NE,BUF
- Window matchup
- -0.36
- Opponents after
- LA,NYJ,SF
- After matchup
- +0.01
- Flip edge
- -0.38
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.07
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
14
Points
22.4
Per game
1.60
17-gm pace
27
Best / worst
5.0 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.3 | WR78 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 1.0 | WR95 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.0 | WR110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 2.7 | WR68 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 0.0 | WR99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 1.3 | WR86 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 0.0 | WR96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.0 | WR93 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 1.9 | WR69 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.2 | WR71 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 5.0 | WR39 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 1.7 | WR82 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 4.3 | WR49 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.0 | WR108 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |