Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Ja'Tavion Sanders

CAR

TE49 · overall #280 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

35

3.5/gm

Value over replacement

-35

repl 112

Range

3–66

sd 31

Week

1.0

vs DET

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.8
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
2.1
Rec yards / game
19
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.08
Total TD / game
0.08
Games projected
10.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.8
Games of history
27
Age multiplier
1.060
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.0
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.33
OL pass protection
+0.21
OL continuity
71%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.68
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
21% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
59
Effective contributors
3.10
Top player's share
37%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.71

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
DET,PHI
Window matchup
-0.38
Opponents after
TB,GB,DEN
After matchup
-0.01
Flip edge
-0.37
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.01

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

12

Points

25.0

Per game

2.08

17-gm pace

35

Best / worst

6.9 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
12.7TE2832270
25.4TE1497540
31.1TE4122110
70.0TE532000
81.9TE3333190
90.5TE521150
103.2TE2555320
112.2TE3244220
120.6TE491160
130.0TE610000
150.5TE542250
166.9TE162291