QB
J.J. McCarthy
MINQB32 · overall #571 · tier 8 · age 23
Projected points
129
10.2/gm
Value over replacement
-79
repl 261
Range
87–171
sd 42
Week
8.0
vs GB
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 291
- Pass yards
- 2076
- Pass TD
- 13.1
- Carries
- 24
- Rush yards
- 116
- Rush TD
- 1.5
- Games projected
- 12.7
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 13.1
- Games of history
- 10
- Age multiplier
- 1.038
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.1
- Projected plays / game
- 61.1
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.03
- OL pass protection
- +0.12
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 27%
- 3WR rate
- 63%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.77
- Scheme creativity
- +0.21
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- GB,CHI,TB
- Window matchup
- -0.02
- Opponents after
- MIA,NO
- After matchup
- +0.66
- Flip edge
- -0.69
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.87
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
10
Points
125.4
Per game
12.54
17-gm pace
213
Best / worst
23.5 / 0.5
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22.2 | 13 | 20 | 143 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 1 |
| 2 | 2.8 | 11 | 21 | 158 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 0 |
| 9 | 18.9 | 14 | 25 | 143 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 1 |
| 10 | 14.7 | 20 | 42 | 248 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 48 | 0 |
| 11 | 6.0 | 16 | 32 | 150 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.5 | 12 | 19 | 87 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 | 20.4 | 16 | 23 | 163 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 | 23.5 | 15 | 24 | 250 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
| 16 | 8.3 | 9 | 14 | 108 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| 18 | 8.0 | 14 | 23 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |