Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Isiah Pacheco

DET

RB45 · overall #146 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

12

6.3/gm

Value over replacement

-2

repl 116

Range

0–40

sd 28

Week

0.0

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
3
Carries
14
Receptions
3
Rec yards
18
Rush yards
62
Rush TD
0.2
Rec TD
0.1
Total TD
0.3
Games projected
1.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.3
Games of history
51
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.61
OL continuity
43%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.24
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
28% / 60%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
40
Effective contributors
1.97
Top player's share
60%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.44

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CAR,ARI
Window matchup
+0.96
Opponents after
GB,MIN,MIA
After matchup
+0.19
Flip edge
+0.76
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.05

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

13

Points

68.3

Per game

5.25

17-gm pace

89

Best / worst

11.4 / 2.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
12.8RB4252503230
22.9RB47102202170
34.8RB39104501130
410.8RB24735032131
55.6RB31736033200
65.1RB29125103100
711.4RB151557121-30
85.8RB31125800000
133.3RB49316022170
143.0RB5093000000
152.1RB55112100000
167.5RB33834076410
173.2RB4693200000