Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Isaiah Hodgins

PIT

WR132 · overall #303 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

38

3.6/gm

Value over replacement

-40

repl 119

Range

0–96

sd 58

Week

1.0

@ CLE

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
27
Carries
0
Receptions
17
Rec yards
197
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.8
Total TD
1.8
Games projected
10.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.8
Games of history
31
Age multiplier
0.939
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
61.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.51
OL pass protection
+0.02
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.86
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
21% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.82
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CLE,IND,TB
Window matchup
+0.09
Opponents after
NO,CLE
After matchup
+0.25
Flip edge
-0.16
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.01

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

6

Points

27.5

Per game

4.58

17-gm pace

78

Best / worst

12.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
1110.7WR286557000
1212.2WR266242100
131.4WR103114000
151.4WR100214000
171.8WR98218000
180.0WR109200000