RB
Isaiah Davis
NYJRB115 · overall #381 · tier – · age 24
Projected points
49
3.5/gm
Value over replacement
-52
repl 116
Range
23–75
sd 26
Week
1.2
@ CHI
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 19
- Carries
- 46
- Receptions
- 14
- Rec yards
- 111
- Rush yards
- 216
- Rush TD
- 1.1
- Rec TD
- 0.3
- Total TD
- 1.4
- Games projected
- 13.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.2
- Games of history
- 29
- Age multiplier
- 1.022
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.2
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.17
- OL pass protection
- -0.10
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 22%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- -0.43
- Scheme creativity
- -0.07
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 9
- Effective contributors
- 1.80
- Top player's share
- 73%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.27
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- CHI,CLE,NE
- Window matchup
- -0.25
- Opponents after
- MIA,LV,KC
- After matchup
- +0.10
- Flip edge
- -0.35
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.06
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
50.2
Per game
3.14
17-gm pace
53
Best / worst
12.9 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.8 | RB52 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 0.6 | RB68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.0 | RB76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 2.7 | RB52 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| 5 | 3.3 | RB39 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 0 |
| 6 | 0.1 | RB65 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 7 | 3.2 | RB43 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| 8 | 12.9 | RB15 | 7 | 65 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 | 1.1 | RB53 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | 1.1 | RB61 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.7 | RB56 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 0.0 | RB74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 2.2 | RB52 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 12.5 | RB17 | 9 | 58 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 | 6.0 | RB41 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.0 | RB55 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |