Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Hunter Henry

NE

TE23 · overall #147 · tier 5 · age 31

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Projected points

102

6.8/gm

Value over replacement

-2

repl 112

Range

73–131

sd 29

Week

4.4

@ BUF

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
73
Carries
0
Receptions
51
Rec yards
530
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
4.1
Total TD
4.1
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.5
Games of history
62
Age multiplier
0.888
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.38
OL pass protection
-0.39
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.11
Scheme creativity
-0.58
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
6
Effective contributors
1.60
Top player's share
76%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.21

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BUF,LV,NYJ
Window matchup
-0.05
Opponents after
CHI,MIA,GB
After matchup
-0.15
Flip edge
+0.11
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.25

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

148.8

Per game

8.75

17-gm pace

149

Best / worst

25.0 / 1.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
18.6TE1684660
21.4TE443190
325.0TE1118902
410.9TE822391
55.6TE2542460
64.2TE3233270
75.3TE2554330
87.2TE151171
97.1TE2164510
101.4TE444190
116.5TE1464450
1221.0TE11071151
139.3TE1264730
152.3TE4231180
1612.5TE976351
1712.4TE733491
188.1TE1555560