Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Harold Fannin Jr.

CLE

TE6 · overall #67 · tier 2 · age 22

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Projected points

140

9.6/gm

Value over replacement

38

repl 112

Range

100–179

sd 40

Week

8.9

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
107
Carries
5
Receptions
75
Rec yards
693
Rush yards
7
Rush TD
0.3
Rec TD
5.1
Total TD
5.4
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
11.8
Games of history
16
Age multiplier
1.060
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.18
OL pass protection
-1.79
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
84
Effective contributors
2.07
Top player's share
63%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.88

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup
-0.58
Opponents after
TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup
-0.40
Flip edge
-0.18
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.61

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

16

Points

186.4

Per game

11.65

17-gm pace

198

Best / worst

25.4 / 4.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
113.6TE697630
29.8TE1255480
35.5TE3043250
44.5TE3162240
511.3TE1544131
615.1TE7107810
77.6TE2354360
818.4TE486621
108.4TE1774440
114.6TE3052260
128.4TE1564400
1311.3TE1253431
1425.4TE11181141
1512.0TE11147480
1619.5TE264341
1711.0TE1322301