Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Gunnar Helm

TEN

TE39 · overall #251 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

71

4.9/gm

Value over replacement

-31

repl 112

Range

43–99

sd 28

Week

3.0

@ BAL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
57
Carries
0
Receptions
42
Rec yards
368
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
2.3
Total TD
2.3
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.9
Games of history
16
Age multiplier
1.060
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.4
Projected plays / game
59.5
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.29
OL pass protection
-1.25
OL continuity
46%
2TE rate
21%
3WR rate
77%
1st-down pass rate
39%
Run friendly
+0.16
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
20% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
84
Effective contributors
2.11
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.90

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BAL,HOU,IND
Window matchup
-0.89
Opponents after
CLE,CIN
After matchup
-0.24
Flip edge
-0.65
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.27

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

16

Points

47.7

Per game

2.98

17-gm pace

51

Best / worst

10.9 / 0.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.6TE3921160
20.9TE422290
32.7TE2833270
41.2TE4211120
53.4TE2654340
61.5TE4032150
73.6TE2354360
88.3TE932231
91.5TE4211150
112.9TE2354290
125.1TE1376510
132.3TE3276230
140.8TE462180
1510.9TE944491
160.9TE503290
170.1TE582110