George Holani
SEARB69 · overall #223 · tier – · age 26
Projected points
52
5.1/gm
Value over replacement
-23
repl 116
Range
38–66
sd 14
Week
4.1
vs LAC
Why this ranking
hand-set 2026-08-22
Cut 22 Aug from the audit's list -- RB47 against ECR RB59, and 6.51/g against a decay-weighted 1.43, +5.08, the largest rate overreach of any draftable back. PART OF THIS IS MY OWN FIX FROM TODAY: blend_promoted_share correctly took carries off Jadarian Price, and normalize_team_carries handed a share of them to Holani, who has 1.43/g of career production to justify it. Freeing volume in a room is not the same as knowing who gets it, and the man with the thinnest record collects by default.
This is a view, not a correction — the model said something different and was overruled. See how it works.
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 13
- Carries
- 67
- Receptions
- 11
- Rec yards
- 69
- Rush yards
- 261
- Rush TD
- 2.0
- Rec TD
- 0.0
- Total TD
- 2.0
- Games projected
- 10.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 1.9
- Games of history
- 13
- Age multiplier
- 0.953
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.9
- Projected plays / game
- 61.2
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.01
- OL pass protection
- +0.28
- OL continuity
- 99%
- 2TE rate
- 34%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 50%
- Run friendly
- +0.17
- Scheme creativity
- -0.21
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 39
- Effective contributors
- 2.27
- Top player's share
- 51%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.43
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- LAC,SF,DEN
- Window matchup
- +0.04
- Opponents after
- KC,CHI,ARI
- After matchup
- +0.08
- Flip edge
- -0.04
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.20
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
10
Points
18.8
Per game
1.88
17-gm pace
32
Best / worst
9.1 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.0 | RB81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 6.0 | RB34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 2.2 | RB54 | 10 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.0 | RB73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | RB70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 0.0 | RB68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 0.0 | RB73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 0.9 | RB54 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 9.1 | RB22 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.6 | RB66 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |