Gage Larvadain

BAL

WR239 · overall #567 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

1.3/gm

Value over replacement

-83

repl 119

Range

0–36

sd 18

Week

0.5

vs TEN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 15
Carries: 1
Receptions: 9
Rec yards: 108
Rush yards: 7
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 0.4
Total TD: 0.4
Games projected: 13.6
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.1
Games of history: 13
Age multiplier: 1.044
Usage carryover: 0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.9
Projected plays / game: 60.2
Projected pass rate: 53%
OL run block: +0.50
OL pass protection: -0.17
OL continuity: 57%
2TE rate: 45%
3WR rate: 34%
1st-down pass rate: 46%
Run friendly: +0.69
Scheme creativity: +0.62
Play action / motion: 23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score: 93
Effective contributors: 2.62
Top player's share: 56%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 2.14

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: sell high
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: TEN,ATL,CLE
Window matchup: +0.60
Opponents after: CIN,BUF,JAX
After matchup: -0.23
Flip edge: +0.84
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 13
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.08

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

7.4

Per game

0.57

17-gm pace

Best / worst

2.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Att	Ru Yds
5	0.0	WR100	0	0	0	0	0
6	2.2	WR69	4	2	22	0	0
7	0.0	WR101	1	0	0	0	0
8	0.3	WR89	0	0	0	1	3
10	0.0	WR93	0	0	0	0	0
11	0.0	WR104	1	0	0	0	0
12	0.0	WR97	0	0	0	0	0
13	2.3	WR68	3	2	23	0	0
14	1.8	WR72	3	2	18	0	0
15	0.8	WR95	2	1	8	0	0
16	0.0	WR118	0	0	0	0	0
17	0.0	WR120	0	0	0	0	0
18	0.0	WR108	0	0	0	0	0