Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Eric Gray

CLE

RB90 · overall #316 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

32

3.2/gm

Value over replacement

-41

repl 116

Range

20–44

sd 12

Week

0.7

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
13
Carries
48
Receptions
11
Rec yards
70
Rush yards
158
Rush TD
0.6
Rec TD
0.1
Total TD
0.7
Games projected
10.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.3
Games of history
25
Age multiplier
0.953
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.18
OL pass protection
-1.79
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
85
Effective contributors
2.13
Top player's share
65%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.91

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup
-0.71
Opponents after
TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup
-0.92
Flip edge
+0.21
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.37

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

1

Points

0.0

Per game

0.00

17-gm pace

0

Best / worst

0.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
120.0RB630000000