Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Emanuel Wilson

SEA

RB61 · overall #207 · tier 9 · age 27

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Projected points

84

6.1/gm

Value over replacement

-16

repl 116

Range

44–124

sd 40

Week

4.5

vs LAC

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
21
Carries
105
Receptions
17
Rec yards
111
Rush yards
442
Rush TD
2.7
Rec TD
0.4
Total TD
3.1
Games projected
13.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.5
Games of history
39
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.2
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.01
OL pass protection
+0.28
OL continuity
99%
2TE rate
34%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
50%
Run friendly
+0.17
Scheme creativity
-0.21
Play action / motion
23% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
39
Effective contributors
2.27
Top player's share
51%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.43

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LAC,SF,DEN
Window matchup
+0.04
Opponents after
KC,CHI,ARI
After matchup
+0.08
Flip edge
-0.04
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.20

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

79.5

Per game

4.68

17-gm pace

80

Best / worst

24.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.4RB721400000
20.0RB740000000
32.5RB5262500000
48.1RB31844033370
60.7RB61311011-40
71.5RB54617011-20
88.7RB241161043260
91.7RB4761602110
100.4RB591201120
1112.9RB17114011190
1224.5RB228107222180
131.4RB6541400000
141.0RB5731000000
150.3RB732300000
168.2RB30148200000
172.4RB5131601180
184.8RB35184401140