Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Dylan Sampson

CLE

RB56 · overall #184 · tier – · age 22

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Projected points

6

3.0/gm

Value over replacement

-9

repl 116

Range

0–33

sd 26

Week

0.0

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
3
Carries
7
Receptions
2
Rec yards
16
Rush yards
24
Rush TD
0.1
Rec TD
0.1
Total TD
0.2
Games projected
2.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.7
Games of history
15
Age multiplier
1.067
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.18
OL pass protection
-1.79
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
85
Effective contributors
2.13
Top player's share
65%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.91

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup
-0.71
Opponents after
TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup
-0.92
Flip edge
+0.21
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.37

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

15

Points

54.6

Per game

3.64

17-gm pace

62

Best / worst

14.2 / -0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
19.3RB241229088640
27.9RB3046033131
30.2RB731200000
4-0.2RB891-201000
50.2RB681-402160
62.4RB49312022120
71.7RB523801190
82.9RB4130065290
10-0.1RB782-401130
111.9RB5511901000
1214.2RB10723032591
132.3RB5742300000
144.8RB3924065640
172.7RB50112703300
184.4RB391032032120