Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Dylan Drummond

ATL

WR191 · overall #447 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

27

2.3/gm

Value over replacement

-62

repl 119

Range

10–44

sd 17

Week

0.7

@ NO

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
22
Carries
1
Receptions
13
Rec yards
155
Rush yards
4
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.7
Total TD
0.7
Games projected
11.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.9
Games of history
6
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.7
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.05
OL pass protection
+0.17
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
29%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.35
Scheme creativity
-0.20
Play action / motion
17% / 66%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
3.77
Top player's share
41%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NO,BAL,CHI
Window matchup
+0.29
Opponents after
SF,TB,CIN
After matchup
-0.28
Flip edge
+0.57
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.24

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

6

Points

4.2

Per game

0.70

17-gm pace

12

Best / worst

2.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
121.8WR703318000
130.3WR106313000
142.1WR665321000
150.0WR104000000
170.0WR120000000
180.0WR108000000