TE
Drew Sample
CINTE90 · overall #461 · tier – · age 30
Projected points
34
2.4/gm
Value over replacement
-64
repl 112
Range
11–57
sd 23
Week
1.8
vs JAX
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 26
- Carries
- 1
- Receptions
- 20
- Rec yards
- 150
- Rush yards
- 1
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 1.3
- Total TD
- 1.3
- Games projected
- 13.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 3.0
- Games of history
- 39
- Age multiplier
- 0.911
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 60.8
- Projected pass rate
- 60%
- OL run block
- -0.73
- OL pass protection
- -1.39
- OL continuity
- 98%
- 2TE rate
- 40%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 54%
- Run friendly
- -1.75
- Scheme creativity
- -0.67
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.76
- Top player's share
- 33%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- JAX,MIA
- Window matchup
- +0.74
- Opponents after
- BAL,TEN,ATL
- After matchup
- -0.72
- Flip edge
- +1.45
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.62
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
12
Points
24.4
Per game
2.03
17-gm pace
35
Best / worst
9.0 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.0 | TE61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 1.2 | TE47 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 3 | 9.0 | TE11 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | TE57 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 6 | 0.3 | TE58 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 7 | 0.0 | TE54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.5 | TE57 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.2 | TE40 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 | 2.2 | TE46 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 | 4.1 | TE28 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 | 1.3 | TE48 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | 3.2 | TE36 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 |