QB
Drew Lock
SEAQB43 · overall #509 · tier 8 · age 29
Projected points
70
7.7/gm
Value over replacement
-72
repl 250
Range
28–113
sd 42
Week
5.0
vs LAC
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 165
- Pass yards
- 1158
- Pass TD
- 7.1
- Carries
- 12
- Rush yards
- 64
- Rush TD
- 0.6
- Games projected
- 9.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 7.2
- Games of history
- 14
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.9
- Projected plays / game
- 61.2
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.01
- OL pass protection
- +0.28
- OL continuity
- 99%
- 2TE rate
- 34%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 50%
- Run friendly
- +0.17
- Scheme creativity
- -0.21
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- LAC,SF,DEN
- Window matchup
- -0.10
- Opponents after
- KC,CHI,ARI
- After matchup
- +0.22
- Flip edge
- -0.33
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.50
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
3
Points
0.1
Per game
0.03
17-gm pace
1
Best / worst
0.5 / -0.4
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.5 | QB35 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | -0.4 | QB34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.0 | QB32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |