Drake London

ATL

WR9 · overall #24 · tier 2 · age 25

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Projected points

190

13.3/gm

Value over replacement

repl 119

Range

124–256

sd 66

Week

12.1

@ NO

The take

written by hand

9.5 targets a game, behind only the top four. I'm WR6, the room's WR5, and I'm comfortable either way.

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 137
Carries: 0
Receptions: 85
Rec yards: 1077
Rush yards: 0
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 6.7
Total TD: 6.7
Games projected: 14.3
Observed pts/gm (history): 15.6
Games of history: 62
Age multiplier: 1.026
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.6
Projected plays / game: 61.7
Projected pass rate: 56%
OL run block: +0.05
OL pass protection: +0.17
OL continuity: 82%
2TE rate: 29%
3WR rate: 64%
1st-down pass rate: 40%
Run friendly: +0.35
Scheme creativity: -0.20
Play action / motion: 17% / 66%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 90
Effective contributors: 3.77
Top player's share: 41%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: NO,BAL,CHI
Window matchup: +0.29
Opponents after: SF,TB,CIN
After matchup: -0.28
Flip edge: +0.57
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.24

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

133.9

Per game

11.16

17-gm pace

190

Best / worst

29.8 / 0.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	5.5	WR41	15	8	55	0
2	2.9	WR77	4	3	49	0
3	5.5	WR41	8	5	55	0
4	17.0	WR6	10	8	110	1
6	21.8	WR3	16	10	158	1
7	4.2	WR47	10	4	42	0
9	29.8	WR1	14	9	118	3
10	18.4	WR1	8	6	104	1
11	11.9	WR13	9	7	119	0
16	2.7	WR70	8	3	27	0
17	0.4	WR113	2	1	4	0
18	13.8	WR8	8	4	78	1