Dillon Gabriel

CLE

QB27 · overall #214 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

5.6/gm

Value over replacement

-19

repl 250

Range

0–41

sd 30

Week

0.0

vs PIT

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Pass attempts: 28
Pass yards: 186
Pass TD: 1.2
Carries: 2
Rush yards: 11
Rush TD: 0.0
Games projected: 1.9
Observed pts/gm (history): 7.1
Games of history: 10
Age multiplier: 1.038
Usage carryover: 0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.4
Projected plays / game: 61.0
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: -1.18
OL pass protection: -1.79
OL continuity: 28%
2TE rate: 37%
3WR rate: 63%
1st-down pass rate: 44%
Run friendly: +1.14
Scheme creativity: -0.09
Play action / motion: 23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach
Ambiguity score: 66
Effective contributors: –
Top player's share: –
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy low
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: PIT,NYJ,BAL
Window matchup: -0.18
Opponents after: TEN,PIT,NO
After matchup: -0.27
Flip edge: +0.08
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.39

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

70.1

Per game

7.01

17-gm pace

119

Best / worst

20.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Cmp	Att	Pa Yds	Pa TD	INT	Ru Att	Ru Yds
2	4.8	QB32	3	3	19	1	0	0	0
4	0.0	QB36	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
5	16.1	QB18	19	33	190	2	0	2	5
6	8.8	QB25	29	52	221	0	0	0	0
7	5.8	QB25	13	18	116	0	0	4	12
8	11.5	QB19	21	35	156	2	2	1	13
10	20.1	QB8	17	32	167	2	0	5	54
11	2.9	QB32	7	10	68	0	0	2	2
13	0.0	QB34	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
16	0.0	QB38	0	0	0	0	0	0	0