Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Devin Neal

NO

RB77 · overall #275 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

48

4.2/gm

Value over replacement

-35

repl 116

Range

10–85

sd 37

Week

1.4

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
18
Carries
53
Receptions
14
Rec yards
98
Rush yards
211
Rush TD
1.5
Rec TD
0.1
Total TD
1.6
Games projected
11.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.6
Games of history
9
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.59
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
+0.41
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
-0.10
Flip edge
+0.51
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.57

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

9

Points

51.5

Per game

5.72

17-gm pace

97

Best / worst

14.9 / 0.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.9RB672900000
70.1RB721100000
82.6RB4800033110
91.7RB5131101110
104.6RB4142203390
128.6RB25718075430
138.4RB391447033220
1414.9RB131970111140
159.7RB2772811140