Devin Duvernay

ARI

WR254 · overall #592 · tier – · age 29

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Projected points

0.9/gm

Value over replacement

-91

repl 119

Range

0–56

sd 44

Week

0.2

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 8
Carries: 3
Receptions: 6
Rec yards: 58
Rush yards: 12
Rush TD: 0.1
Rec TD: 0.2
Total TD: 0.4
Games projected: 13.9
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.1
Games of history: 57
Age multiplier: 0.876
Usage carryover: 0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 34.3
Projected plays / game: 62.2
Projected pass rate: 59%
OL run block: -0.14
OL pass protection: -0.29
OL continuity: 51%
2TE rate: 48%
3WR rate: 52%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.40
Scheme creativity: +0.44
Play action / motion: 25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 88
Effective contributors: 3.31
Top player's share: 46%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.93

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy low
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup: +0.14
Opponents after: DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup: -0.27
Flip edge: +0.42
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 14
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.38

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

4.6

Per game

0.27

17-gm pace

Best / worst

3.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
1	0.0	WR118	0	0	0
2	0.0	WR122	0	0	0
3	0.0	WR120	0	0	0
4	0.0	WR114	0	0	0
6	0.0	WR100	0	0	0
7	0.0	WR103	0	0	0
8	1.2	WR89	3	1	2
9	0.0	WR98	0	0	0
10	0.0	WR94	0	0	0
11	0.0	WR107	0	0	0
12	0.0	WR98	0	0	0
13	0.0	WR109	0	0	0
14	3.4	WR72	1	1	24
15	0.0	WR104	0	0	0
16	0.0	WR119	0	0	0
17	0.0	WR120	1	0	0
18	0.0	WR109	0	0	0