Derius Davis

LAC

WR242 · overall #572 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

1.3/gm

Value over replacement

-84

repl 119

Range

0–39

sd 22

Week

0.4

@ SEA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 11
Carries: 6
Receptions: 8
Rec yards: 71
Rush yards: 28
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 0.5
Total TD: 0.5
Games projected: 13.6
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.5
Games of history: 43
Age multiplier: 1.009
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 34.4
Projected plays / game: 61.1
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: +0.45
OL pass protection: +0.57
OL continuity: 37%
2TE rate: 16%
3WR rate: 71%
1st-down pass rate: 45%
Run friendly: -0.07
Scheme creativity: +0.88
Play action / motion: 25% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 90
Effective contributors: 3.89
Top player's share: 33%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: avoid
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: SEA,DEN,KC
Window matchup: -1.09
Opponents after: LA,HOU
After matchup: -0.07
Flip edge: -1.02
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 7
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.04

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

2.5

Per game

0.23

17-gm pace

Best / worst

1.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Att	Ru Yds
1	0.3	WR116	0	0	0	1	3
2	0.0	WR122	0	0	0	0	0
3	0.2	WR119	0	0	0	1	2
7	0.0	WR103	0	0	0	0	0
8	0.0	WR96	0	0	0	0	0
9	0.0	WR97	0	0	0	0	0
10	0.8	WR90	1	1	3	0	0
11	0.0	WR107	1	0	0	0	0
13	0.0	WR108	0	0	0	0	0
14	0.0	WR102	0	0	0	0	0
18	1.2	WR94	1	1	7	0	0