RB
De'Von Achane
MIARB5 · overall #11 · tier 2 · age 24
Projected points
212
15.0/gm
Value over replacement
115
repl 110
Range
140–283
sd 71
Week
12.4
@ LV
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 67
- Carries
- 191
- Receptions
- 54
- Rec yards
- 394
- Rush yards
- 880
- Rush TD
- 6.2
- Rec TD
- 2.5
- Total TD
- 8.7
- Games projected
- 14.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 19.2
- Games of history
- 44
- Age multiplier
- 1.022
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.6
- Projected plays / game
- 60.0
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -1.25
- OL pass protection
- -0.63
- OL continuity
- 72%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 46%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 42%
- Run friendly
- -0.07
- Scheme creativity
- +1.42
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 73%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 87
- Effective contributors
- 2.15
- Top player's share
- 63%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.92
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- LV,SF,KC
- Window matchup
- -1.01
- Opponents after
- MIN,CIN
- After matchup
- -0.65
- Flip edge
- -0.36
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 6
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.51
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
255.8
Per game
15.99
17-gm pace
272
Best / worst
34.5 / 9.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13.5 | 7 | 55 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 1 |
| 2 | 18.2 | 11 | 30 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 92 | 1 |
| 3 | 9.1 | 12 | 62 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 4 | 16.1 | 20 | 99 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5 | 10.6 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 1 |
| 6 | 27.0 | 16 | 128 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 0 |
| 7 | 9.8 | 13 | 82 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 0 |
| 8 | 15.1 | 18 | 67 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 1 |
| 9 | 10.6 | 14 | 67 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 | 34.5 | 22 | 174 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 | 16.5 | 21 | 120 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 | 19.4 | 22 | 134 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 16.5 | 7 | 92 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 | 12.7 | 12 | 60 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 67 | 0 |
| 16 | 15.0 | 15 | 81 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 | 11.2 | 18 | 83 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 0 |