Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Davis Allen

LA

TE117 · overall #524 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

27

1.9/gm

Value over replacement

-74

repl 112

Range

0–56

sd 29

Week

1.6

@ PHI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
20
Carries
1
Receptions
14
Rec yards
135
Rush yards
1
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.2
Total TD
1.2
Games projected
14.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.6
Games of history
29
Age multiplier
1.050
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.74
OL pass protection
+0.72
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.61
Scheme creativity
+1.28
Play action / motion
32% / 70%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.66
Top player's share
37%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PHI,BUF,ARI
Window matchup
+0.04
Opponents after
LV,LAC,WAS
After matchup
+0.56
Flip edge
-0.52
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.11

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

15

Points

38.8

Per game

2.59

17-gm pace

44

Best / worst

7.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
17.3TE1321131
26.8TE111181
30.3TE561130
40.0TE541100
52.4TE2922240
60.7TE472170
70.4TE481140
93.7TE2743370
106.8TE132281
122.9TE2243290
130.4TE531140
142.1TE2522210
151.6TE4143160
163.4TE2152340
180.0TE611000