Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

David Moore

CAR

WR133 · overall #305 · tier – · age 31

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Projected points

42

3.8/gm

Value over replacement

-40

repl 119

Range

11–73

sd 31

Week

1.9

vs DET

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
30
Carries
1
Receptions
18
Rec yards
215
Rush yards
5
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.2
Total TD
1.2
Games projected
11.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.1
Games of history
24
Age multiplier
0.813
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.0
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.33
OL pass protection
+0.21
OL continuity
71%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.68
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
21% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.79
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
DET,PHI
Window matchup
-0.41
Opponents after
TB,GB,DEN
After matchup
-0.48
Flip edge
+0.08
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.55

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

3

Points

1.7

Per game

0.57

17-gm pace

10

Best / worst

1.2 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
10.0WR115000000
30.5WR110115000
41.2WR940000112