David Martin-Robinson

TEN

TE114 · overall #516 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

1.0/gm

Value over replacement

-73

repl 112

Range

0–25

sd 13

Week

0.3

@ BAL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 8
Carries: 0
Receptions: 6
Rec yards: 48
Rush yards: 1
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 0.7
Total TD: 0.7
Games projected: 12.1
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.0
Games of history: 15
Age multiplier: 1.030
Usage carryover: 0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 35.4
Projected plays / game: 59.5
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: -1.29
OL pass protection: -1.25
OL continuity: 46%
2TE rate: 21%
3WR rate: 77%
1st-down pass rate: 39%
Run friendly: +0.16
Scheme creativity: -0.30
Play action / motion: 20% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach
Ambiguity score: 84
Effective contributors: 2.11
Top player's share: 56%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 1.90

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: avoid
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: BAL,HOU,IND
Window matchup: -0.89
Opponents after: CLE,CIN
After matchup: -0.24
Flip edge: -0.65
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 9
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.27

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

13.0

Per game

1.18

17-gm pace

Best / worst

7.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	0.0	TE61	0	0	0	0
6	7.1	TE24	1	1	1	1
8	0.0	TE48	0	0	0	0
9	0.0	TE54	0	0	0	0
11	0.0	TE57	0	0	0	0
13	0.0	TE61	0	0	0	0
14	1.6	TE53	1	1	6	0
15	0.0	TE59	0	0	0	0
16	0.0	TE64	0	0	0	0
17	1.9	TE47	1	1	9	0
18	2.4	TE44	3	1	14	0