Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Davante Adams

LA

WR18 · overall #47 · tier 5 · age 33

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Projected points

163

11.4/gm

Value over replacement

56

repl 119

Range

96–229

sd 67

Week

13.1

@ PHI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
108
Carries
0
Receptions
64
Rec yards
848
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
7.4
Total TD
7.4
Games projected
14.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
16.9
Games of history
62
Age multiplier
0.750
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.74
OL pass protection
+0.72
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.61
Scheme creativity
+1.28
Play action / motion
32% / 70%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
61
Effective contributors
3.17
Top player's share
45%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.74

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PHI,BUF,ARI
Window matchup
-0.23
Opponents after
LV,LAC,WAS
After matchup
+0.35
Flip edge
-0.59
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.01

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

14

Points

162.9

Per game

11.64

17-gm pace

198

Best / worst

21.5 / 2.9

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
15.1WR458451000
216.6WR9136106100
311.6WR198356100
411.6WR196456100
58.8WR2711588000
63.9WR479439000
721.5WR58535300
918.0WR47560200
1013.7WR158677100
116.1WR29811100
1218.2WR68562200
1317.8WR55458200
142.9WR566429000
157.1WR349471000