Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Darius Slayton

IND

WR87 · overall #200 · tier 9 · age 29

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Projected points

64

6.1/gm

Value over replacement

-14

repl 119

Range

5–124

sd 60

Week

1.9

@ WAS

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
46
Carries
3
Receptions
28
Rec yards
400
Rush yards
19
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.6
Total TD
1.6
Games projected
10.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.6
Games of history
60
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
61.8
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.76
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
35%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
+0.12
Scheme creativity
+0.53
Play action / motion
31% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.54
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
WAS,PIT,TEN
Window matchup
+0.69
Opponents after
MIN,JAX,DAL
After matchup
+0.26
Flip edge
+0.43
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.35

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

14

Points

61.8

Per game

4.41

17-gm pace

75

Best / worst

12.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
10.0WR115100000
26.1WR513261000
33.0WR644430000
44.4WR494344000
51.1WR856331000
82.6WR635226000
96.2WR397562000
108.9WR284489000
122.3WR622123000
1312.1WR163241100
155.3WR4410453000
160.8WR104218000
173.6WR513236000
185.4WR309434000