RB
Dare Ogunbowale
LVRB113 · overall #374 · tier – · age 32
Projected points
50
3.6/gm
Value over replacement
-51
repl 116
Range
26–74
sd 24
Week
1.2
vs KC
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 21
- Carries
- 56
- Receptions
- 15
- Rec yards
- 116
- Rush yards
- 194
- Rush TD
- 1.5
- Rec TD
- 0.2
- Total TD
- 1.7
- Games projected
- 13.9
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 2.3
- Games of history
- 54
- Age multiplier
- 0.838
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.6
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.08
- OL pass protection
- -0.32
- OL continuity
- 50%
- 2TE rate
- 42%
- 3WR rate
- 58%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- +0.59
- Scheme creativity
- -0.05
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 47
- Effective contributors
- 1.32
- Top player's share
- 87%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.53
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- KC,NE,BUF
- Window matchup
- -0.34
- Opponents after
- LA,NYJ,SF
- After matchup
- -0.00
- Flip edge
- -0.34
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.00
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
14
Points
14.1
Per game
1.01
17-gm pace
17
Best / worst
6.5 / -0.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.6 | RB67 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
| 2 | 0.0 | RB74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.0 | RB76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | RB70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 0.0 | RB73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 1.7 | RB49 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 9 | 0.2 | RB64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.9 | RB62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.0 | RB63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 0.0 | RB74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 6.5 | RB36 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 3.4 | RB48 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 | -0.1 | RB90 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.9 | RB74 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |