Dare Ogunbowale

RB113 · overall #374 · tier – · age 32

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Projected points

3.6/gm

Value over replacement

-51

repl 116

Range

26–74

sd 24

Week

1.2

vs KC

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 21
Carries: 56
Receptions: 15
Rec yards: 116
Rush yards: 194
Rush TD: 1.5
Rec TD: 0.2
Total TD: 1.7
Games projected: 13.9
Observed pts/gm (history): 2.3
Games of history: 54
Age multiplier: 0.838
Usage carryover: 0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.6
Projected plays / game: 60.9
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: -1.08
OL pass protection: -0.32
OL continuity: 50%
2TE rate: 42%
3WR rate: 58%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: +0.59
Scheme creativity: -0.05
Play action / motion: 22% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score: 47
Effective contributors: 1.32
Top player's share: 87%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 1.53

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: KC,NE,BUF
Window matchup: -0.34
Opponents after: LA,NYJ,SF
After matchup: -0.00
Flip edge: -0.34
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 13
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.00

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

24.1

Per game

1.72

17-gm pace

Best / worst

6.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Att	Ru Yds	Ru TD	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
1	2.6	RB50	2	9	0	2	2	17
2	0.0	RB75	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	0.0	RB76	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	0.0	RB71	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	0.0	RB73	0	0	0	1	0	0
8	2.7	RB50	1	9	0	1	1	8
9	1.2	RB58	0	0	0	1	1	2
11	1.9	RB59	0	0	0	1	1	9
12	0.0	RB63	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	0.0	RB74	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	6.5	RB38	1	5	1	0	0	0
15	6.4	RB41	5	2	0	4	3	32
16	0.9	RB75	1	-3	0	1	1	2
18	1.9	RB69	1	3	0	2	1	6