QB
Daniel Jones
INDQB24 · overall #139 · tier 7 · age 29
Projected points
198
16.5/gm
Value over replacement
2
repl 261
Range
161–235
sd 37
Week
12.3
vs BAL
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Pass attempts
- 369
- Pass yards
- 2704
- Pass TD
- 14.4
- Carries
- 64
- Rush yards
- 281
- Rush TD
- 3.2
- Games projected
- 12.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 15.8
- Games of history
- 45
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.9
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.78
- OL pass protection
- +0.85
- OL continuity
- 81%
- 2TE rate
- 35%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 48%
- Run friendly
- +0.12
- Scheme creativity
- +0.53
- Play action / motion
- 31% / 50%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- BAL,KC,HOU
- Window matchup
- -0.69
- Opponents after
- WAS,PIT,TEN
- After matchup
- +0.84
- Flip edge
- -1.53
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.32
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
13
Points
226.4
Per game
17.42
17-gm pace
296
Best / worst
29.5 / 0.8
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29.5 | 22 | 29 | 272 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 2 |
| 2 | 22.8 | 23 | 34 | 316 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | 15.8 | 18 | 25 | 228 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 0 |
| 4 | 10.4 | 24 | 33 | 262 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | 16.7 | 20 | 29 | 212 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 6 | 22.5 | 22 | 30 | 212 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 1 |
| 7 | 22.2 | 23 | 34 | 288 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 8 | 23.2 | 21 | 29 | 272 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | 14.1 | 31 | 50 | 342 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 10 | 15.5 | 19 | 26 | 255 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 53 | 0 |
| 12 | 16.8 | 19 | 31 | 181 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 | 16.1 | 14 | 27 | 201 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.8 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |