TE
Dalton Kincaid
BUFTE16 · overall #116 · tier 5 · age 26
Projected points
104
7.8/gm
Value over replacement
12
repl 111
Range
73–136
sd 31
Week
6.5
@ HOU
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 73
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 53
- Rec yards
- 577
- Rush yards
- 0
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 3.4
- Total TD
- 3.4
- Games projected
- 13.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 9.7
- Games of history
- 41
- Age multiplier
- 1.030
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.0
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- +1.34
- OL pass protection
- +1.30
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 28%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.96
- Scheme creativity
- +0.22
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 53
- Effective contributors
- 2.83
- Top player's share
- 40%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.62
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- HOU,DET,LAC
- Window matchup
- +0.29
- Opponents after
- NE,LA,LV
- After matchup
- +0.07
- Flip edge
- +0.21
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.36
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
12
Points
87.1
Per game
7.26
17-gm pace
123
Best / worst
16.1 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10.8 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 1 |
| 2 | 3.7 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
| 3 | 12.6 | 6 | 5 | 66 | 1 |
| 4 | 8.8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| 5 | 10.8 | 6 | 6 | 108 | 0 |
| 8 | 2.3 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| 9 | 16.1 | 6 | 6 | 101 | 1 |
| 10 | 3.7 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 | 10.1 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 1 |
| 15 | 3.4 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 4.8 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 0 |