TE
Dalton Kincaid
BUFTE12 · overall #115 · tier 3 · age 26
Projected points
104
7.8/gm
Value over replacement
11
repl 112
Range
72–135
sd 31
Week
11.1
vs NE
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 73
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 53
- Rec yards
- 574
- Rush yards
- 0
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 3.4
- Total TD
- 3.4
- Games projected
- 13.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 9.7
- Games of history
- 41
- Age multiplier
- 1.030
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.1
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- +1.32
- OL pass protection
- +1.30
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 28%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.97
- Scheme creativity
- +0.23
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 53
- Effective contributors
- 2.83
- Top player's share
- 40%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.62
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- NE,LA,LV
- Window matchup
- +0.28
- Opponents after
- BAL,MIN
- After matchup
- -0.68
- Flip edge
- +0.96
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.48
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
12
Points
87.1
Per game
7.26
17-gm pace
123
Best / worst
16.1 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10.8 | TE1 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 1 |
| 2 | 3.7 | TE20 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
| 3 | 12.6 | TE3 | 6 | 5 | 66 | 1 |
| 4 | 8.8 | TE10 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| 5 | 10.8 | TE8 | 6 | 6 | 108 | 0 |
| 8 | 2.3 | TE27 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| 9 | 16.1 | TE3 | 6 | 6 | 101 | 1 |
| 10 | 3.7 | TE21 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 | 10.1 | TE6 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 1 |
| 15 | 3.4 | TE23 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.0 | TE64 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 4.8 | TE18 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 0 |