Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Dallas Goedert

PHI

TE15 · overall #126 · tier 4 · age 31

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Projected points

70

7.5/gm

Value over replacement

5

repl 112

Range

37–103

sd 33

Week

3.5

vs LA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
46
Carries
0
Receptions
34
Rec yards
364
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
3.3
Total TD
3.3
Games projected
9.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
11.3
Games of history
51
Age multiplier
0.888
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.28
OL pass protection
+1.10
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
10
Effective contributors
1.55
Top player's share
79%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.28

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LA,JAX,CAR
Window matchup
-0.00
Opponents after
DAL,WAS,NYG
After matchup
+0.91
Flip edge
-0.91
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.10

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

15

Points

125.1

Per game

8.34

17-gm pace

142

Best / worst

19.0 / 1.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
14.4TE2177440
39.3TE621331
415.7TE144372
57.9TE1593191
617.0TE11191101
71.8TE3533180
814.8TE333282
104.3TE1964430
112.4TE2852240
122.0TE3222200
132.7TE2842270
147.8TE11108780
1519.0TE476702
169.2TE1333321
176.8TE156381