Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Dallas Goedert

PHI

TE15 · overall #126 · tier 4 · age 31

← back to rankings

Projected points

70

7.5/gm

Value over replacement

5

repl 112

Range

37–103

sd 33

Week

3.5

vs LA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
46
Carries
0
Receptions
34
Rec yards
364
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
3.3
Total TD
3.3
Games projected
9.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
11.3
Games of history
51
Age multiplier
0.888
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.28
OL pass protection
+1.10
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
10
Effective contributors
1.55
Top player's share
79%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.28

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LA,JAX,CAR
Window matchup
-0.00
Opponents after
DAL,WAS,NYG
After matchup
+0.91
Flip edge
-0.91
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.10

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

155.1

Per game

10.34

17-gm pace

176

Best / worst

22.0 / 3.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
17.9TE1777440
39.8TE721331
417.7TE144372
59.4TE1593191
621.5TE11191101
73.3TE3233180
816.3TE333282
106.3TE1964430
113.4TE3252240
123.0TE3422200
133.7TE3042270
1411.8TE8108780
1522.0TE476702
1610.7TE1533321
178.3TE146381