DJ Giddens
INDRB102 · overall #337 · tier – · age 23
Projected points
44
3.6/gm
Value over replacement
-44
repl 116
Range
36–51
sd 7
Week
1.3
@ WAS
Why this ranking
hand-set 2026-09-03
Cut 22 Aug -- RB62 against ECR RB82, 4.86/g against a weighted 1.92, +2.94. Almost no usage history, so the projection was a depth slot and a prior rather than anything the player has done. Same shape as MarShawn Lloyd. TARGET ADOPTED AT RB94 ON 3 SEP, not re-priced back to the stated RB74. The reason argued from him being DEPTH 2 in Indianapolis behind Jonathan Taylor; he is depth 3 now, behind Taylor and Seth McGowan, so the premise moved further in the direction the cut was already going. Sleeper projects him at 27.0 points against our 43.5, so the one market that updates daily also has us high rather than low. Adopting rather than re-pricing because raising him back to RB74 would argue against both facts that have arrived since. This is the Lloyd remedy -- take the new landing spot deliberately and say why it is the better answer -- and NOT the forbidden one of copying the board into the target to silence the check. If anything he is still high: at 5.41 car/g he out-carries the depth-2 man by 4.46, which no gate catches because both are undraftable.
This is a view, not a correction — the model said something different and was overruled. See how it works.
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 9
- Carries
- 66
- Receptions
- 6
- Rec yards
- 46
- Rush yards
- 275
- Rush TD
- 1.1
- Rec TD
- 0.0
- Total TD
- 1.1
- Games projected
- 12.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 1.9
- Games of history
- 5
- Age multiplier
- 1.045
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.8
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.69
- OL pass protection
- +0.76
- OL continuity
- 81%
- 2TE rate
- 35%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 48%
- Run friendly
- +0.12
- Scheme creativity
- +0.53
- Play action / motion
- 31% / 50%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 1
- Effective contributors
- 1.32
- Top player's share
- 87%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.11
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- WAS,PIT,TEN
- Window matchup
- +0.35
- Opponents after
- MIN,JAX,DAL
- After matchup
- +0.23
- Flip edge
- +0.12
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.23
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
5
Points
9.6
Per game
1.92
17-gm pace
33
Best / worst
4.1 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4.1 | RB40 | 12 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 0.0 | RB75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.3 | RB72 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 2.2 | RB49 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 3.0 | RB55 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |