Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

DJ Giddens

IND

RB63 · overall #202 · tier 9 · age 22

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Projected points

56

4.7/gm

Value over replacement

-25

repl 110

Range

50–63

sd 7

Week

3.4

vs BAL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
18
Carries
74
Receptions
13
Rec yards
93
Rush yards
309
Rush TD
1.7
Rec TD
0.1
Total TD
1.8
Games projected
11.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.9
Games of history
5
Age multiplier
1.067
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.78
OL pass protection
+0.85
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
35%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
+0.12
Scheme creativity
+0.53
Play action / motion
31% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
1
Effective contributors
1.32
Top player's share
87%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.11

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
BAL,KC,HOU
Window matchup
-0.81
Opponents after
WAS,PIT,TEN
After matchup
+0.36
Flip edge
-1.18
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.30

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

5

Points

9.6

Per game

1.92

17-gm pace

33

Best / worst

4.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
14.1124100000
20.00001000
30.31300000
52.252201000
183.083000000