RB
D'Andre Swift
CHIRB21 · overall #33 · tier 5 · age 27
Projected points
176
12.1/gm
Value over replacement
76
repl 110
Range
142–211
sd 35
Week
11.4
@ CAR
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 3.4
- Carries / game
- 12.6
- Receptions / game
- 2.6
- Rec yards / game
- 21
- Rush yards / game
- 59
- Rush TD / game
- 0.40
- Rec TD / game
- 0.06
- Total TD / game
- 0.46
- Games projected
- 14.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 13.7
- Games of history
- 63
- Age multiplier
- 0.934
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.8
- Projected plays / game
- 62.4
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- +1.37
- OL pass protection
- +1.06
- OL continuity
- 82%
- 2TE rate
- 36%
- 3WR rate
- 64%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- +0.60
- Scheme creativity
- +0.58
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 54%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 34
- Effective contributors
- 2.04
- Top player's share
- 56%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.35
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- CAR,MIN,PHI
- Window matchup
- -0.08
- Opponents after
- NYJ,GB,ATL
- After matchup
- +0.72
- Flip edge
- -0.80
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.46
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
194.6
Per game
12.16
17-gm pace
207
Best / worst
23.5 / 0.9
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6.5 | 17 | 53 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 2 | 10.9 | 12 | 63 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 3 | 7.8 | 13 | 33 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 0 |
| 4 | 12.0 | 14 | 38 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 0 |
| 6 | 23.5 | 14 | 108 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 67 | 1 |
| 7 | 19.8 | 19 | 124 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| 8 | 13.1 | 11 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 | 9.8 | 13 | 80 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 | 9.0 | 21 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.9 | 8 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 | 19.8 | 18 | 125 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 | 8.2 | 13 | 63 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 | 21.6 | 18 | 98 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | 7.0 | 13 | 58 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 | 19.9 | 9 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 | 4.8 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |