Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Cooper Kupp

SEA

WR71 · overall #152 · tier 10 · age 33

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Projected points

88

6.8/gm

Value over replacement

-5

repl 115

Range

31–145

sd 57

Week

5.9

vs NE

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
63
Carries
3
Receptions
40
Rec yards
487
Rush yards
14
Rush TD
0.2
Rec TD
3.3
Total TD
3.5
Games projected
12.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.7
Games of history
49
Age multiplier
0.750
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.2
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.11
OL pass protection
+0.37
OL continuity
100%
2TE rate
34%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
50%
Run friendly
+0.17
Scheme creativity
-0.21
Play action / motion
23% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
48
Effective contributors
2.58
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.54

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NE,ARI,WAS
Window matchup
+1.28
Opponents after
LAC,SF,DEN
After matchup
-0.51
Flip edge
+1.79
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.37

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

16

Points

69.3

Per game

4.33

17-gm pace

74

Best / worst

10.0 / 0.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
11.53215000
29.09790000
33.13231000
42.65426000
55.99659000
610.03240100
71.21132000
107.42274000
112.37323000
122.44224000
132.44324000
149.53235100
154.67546000
163.94339000
170.6316000
182.93229000