WR
Christian Watson
GBWR27 · overall #54 · tier 6 · age 27
Projected points
143
11.5/gm
Value over replacement
54
repl 115
Range
91–195
sd 52
Week
8.2
@ MIN
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 86
- Carries
- 3
- Receptions
- 51
- Rec yards
- 769
- Rush yards
- 21
- Rush TD
- 0.3
- Rec TD
- 6.2
- Total TD
- 6.5
- Games projected
- 12.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.9
- Games of history
- 47
- Age multiplier
- 0.939
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.1
- Projected plays / game
- 60.4
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- -0.65
- OL pass protection
- -0.47
- OL continuity
- 64%
- 2TE rate
- 32%
- 3WR rate
- 60%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- +0.90
- Scheme creativity
- +0.53
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 5.34
- Top player's share
- 30%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- MIN,NYJ,ATL
- Window matchup
- +0.38
- Opponents after
- TB,CHI,DAL
- After matchup
- +0.40
- Flip edge
- -0.02
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.10
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
10
Points
97.4
Per game
9.74
17-gm pace
166
Best / worst
20.9 / 1.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8.5 | 4 | 4 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 5.8 | 4 | 2 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 4.5 | 4 | 2 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 16.6 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 4.9 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 14.3 | 10 | 4 | 80 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | 20.9 | 4 | 4 | 89 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 2.9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1.7 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 17.3 | 6 | 5 | 113 | 1 | 0 | 0 |