TE
Chris Manhertz
NYGTE139 · overall #604 · tier – · age 34
Projected points
11
0.7/gm
Value over replacement
-96
repl 112
Range
0–23
sd 12
Week
0.4
vs ARI
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 8
- Carries
- 0
- Receptions
- 6
- Rec yards
- 53
- Rush yards
- 1
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 0.5
- Total TD
- 0.5
- Games projected
- 15.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 1.0
- Games of history
- 26
- Age multiplier
- 0.820
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.3
- Projected plays / game
- 62.6
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.24
- OL pass protection
- -0.01
- OL continuity
- 75%
- 2TE rate
- 32%
- 3WR rate
- 67%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 47%
- Run friendly
- -0.84
- Scheme creativity
- +0.09
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 58
- Effective contributors
- 1.69
- Top player's share
- 73%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.70
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk7
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- ARI,WAS,NO
- Window matchup
- +0.85
- Opponents after
- HOU,PHI
- After matchup
- -0.73
- Flip edge
- +1.58
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.26
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
4
Points
1.7
Per game
0.42
17-gm pace
7
Best / worst
1.7 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.7 | TE47 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.0 | TE56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.0 | TE64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.0 | TE63 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |