Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Chris Godwin Jr.

TB

WR37 · overall #91 · tier 8 · age 30

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Projected points

109

9.1/gm

Value over replacement

20

repl 119

Range

62–156

sd 47

Week

5.7

vs GB

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
79
Carries
1
Receptions
52
Rec yards
635
Rush yards
4
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
2.9
Total TD
2.9
Games projected
12.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.9
Games of history
48
Age multiplier
0.845
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.6
Projected plays / game
62.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.87
OL pass protection
+1.31
OL continuity
80%
2TE rate
22%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+0.51
Scheme creativity
-0.17
Play action / motion
17% / 58%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
4.77
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
GB,DAL,PIT
Window matchup
+0.22
Opponents after
CAR,ATL,CHI
After matchup
+0.41
Flip edge
-0.18
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.64

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

9

Points

50.0

Per game

5.56

17-gm pace

94

Best / worst

16.8 / 0.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
42.6WR6410326000
52.6WR694326000
120.9WR82429000
137.8WR315378000
145.5WR358555000
1510.0WR245420100
163.0WR676530000
1716.8WR587108100
180.8WR89118000